Odds on the NFL draft are notoriously volatile, but entering the week, the betting market is confident that the first four picks are set. Heavy odds-on favorites have emerged to be the first, second, third and fourth picks in Cam Ward (-20000), Travis Hunter (-1400), Abdul Carter (-700) and Will Campbell (-500), respectively. After that, the odds are much more even, yet they still tell a story about what the betting public believes will take place Thursday.
Here’s what the betting market tells us about what could happen with each of the first 32 picks of NFL draft. Some picks below include players who might fit in these draft slots, while others are more generic and focused on positions that are the most likely to be selected based on the odds.
Odds are as of Tuesday from multiple sportsbooks, including ESPN BET, FanDuel, DraftKings and Circa Sports. For latest odds go to ESPN BET.
Pick 1. Tennessee Titans: Miami QB Cam Ward is a -20000 favorite to be the No. 1 pick. At -20000, bettors would need to risk $2,000 to win $10 on Ward going No. 1. It’s the same odds as Caleb Williams had to be the first pick last year.
Pick 2. Cleveland Browns: Colorado DB/WR Travis Hunter is a -700 favorite to be the No. 2 pick and -1000 to be the first non-quarterback taken.
Pick 3. New York Giants: Penn State edge rusher Abdul Carter is a -700 favorite to be the No. 3 pick.
Pick 4. New England Patriots: LSU offensive lineman Will Campbell is a -500 favorite to be the No. 4 pick and -800 to be the first offensive lineman drafted.
Pick 5. Jacksonville Jaguars: This is where the crystal ball gets cloudy. Michigan defensive tackle Mason Graham is a +125 favorite to be the No. 5 pick with Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty at +150. Arizona receiver Tetairoa McMillan has also garnered attention to go fifth overall with his odds recently shortening from 50-1 to +650 at some books. He is -200 to be the first receiver taken in the draft.
Pick 6. Las Vegas Raiders: Jeanty is -10000 to be the first running back taken in this draft and -120 to be the No. 6 pick, should he slip past the Jaguars.
Pick 7. New York Jets: Missouri offensive tackle Armand Membou is a +135 favorite to be the No. 7 pick and -350 to be the second offensive lineman taken after Campbell. The over/under on Membou’s draft position is set at 6.5 with heavy juice (-330) to bet the over.
Pick 8. Carolina Panthers: Georgia linebacker Jalon Walker is the favorite at +145 to be the No. 8 pick. He is -1600 to be the first linebacker off the board.
Pick 9. New Orleans Saints: Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders is the favorite at +300 to be the No. 9 pick and -600 to go ninth or later. He is, however, -290 to be the second quarterback off the board. The Saints taking a quarterback would go against recent odds movement. New Orleans is even money to take a defensive lineman/edge rusher with their first pick at +280. The Pittsburgh Steelers have the second-shortest odds to draft Sanders behind Cleveland (+250) and ahead of the Saints (+350) and Giants (+400).
Pick 10. Chicago Bears: Jeanty and Penn State tight end Tyler Warren are tied to go 10th at +300. Warren is -400 to be the first tight end taken and -170 to be a top-10 pick.
Pick 11. San Francisco 49ers: Defensive end/edge rusher and offensive line have the best odds here with both positions around +180 to be the 49ers’ pick. Texas OL Kelvin Banks Jr.’s O/U is 13.5 while Georgia edge rusher Mykel Williams‘ is 15.5, both heavily juiced toward the “under” in the -400 range. Note: For the purposes of the draft, the “Under” at ESPN BET is considered to be earlier, so if a player goes at 13, then “under 13.5” is a winner.
Pick 12. Dallas Cowboys: A wide receiver is a -120 odds-on favorite to be the Cowboys’ first pick. Texas receiver Matthew Golden‘s odds to be the first receiver taken — not including the two-way-playing Hunter — were on the move, shortening from +315 to +155 recently at ESPN BET, and his odds are -150 to be the second receiver off the board, with the implication that it will be either him or McMillan at this pick.
Pick 13. Miami Dolphins: Offensive line is the favorite at +140 to be the Dolphins’ first pick. With Campbell’s and Membou’s odds suggesting that they are off the board at this point, this could also be a landing spot for Banks should he get past the 49ers.
Pick 14. Indianapolis Colts: Warren, the Penn State tight end, is the favorite at +165 to be picked by the Colts in the first round. The over/under on Warren’s draft position can be found at 9.5 (-210 over).
Pick 15. Atlanta Falcons: Defensive line/edge rusher is a -270 favorite to be the position drafted by the Falcons with their first-round pick. The Falcons’ odds to take Jeanty have been shortening, though, from 100-1 to 18-1 at ESPN BET.
Pick 16. Arizona Cardinals: Defensive line/edge rusher is the favorite at +150 to be the position drafted by the Cardinals with their first-round pick.
Pick 17. Cincinnati Bengals: Defensive line/edge rusher is a -165 favorite to be the position drafted by the Bengals with their first-round pick. Marshall Edge Mike Green is +240 not to last past the 17th pick.
Pick 18. Seattle Seahawks: Offensive line is a -120 favorite to be the position drafted by the Seahawks with their first-round pick. Michigan tight end Colston Loveland is expected to go in this range as well. The over/under on his draft position is set at 18.5 juiced to -450 on the under.
Pick 19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Defensive line/edge rusher is the favorite at +135 to be the first position drafted by the Buccaneers followed by linebacker at +175.
Pick 20. Denver Broncos: Running back is the favorite at +110 to be the position drafted by the Broncos with their first-round pick, with North Carolina RB Omarion Hampton a -290 favorite to be the second running back off the board after Jeanty.
Pick 21. Pittsburgh Steelers: Defensive line/edge rusher is the favorite at +160 to be the Steelers’ first pick, with quarterback next at +200. The Steelers and Saints are co-favorites at +200 to take Mississippi QB Jaxson Dart. The over/under on Dart’s draft position, however, is set at 24.5 with increased odds on over (-130), and the Steelers are +280 to take Sanders (see Pick 9).
Pick 22. Los Angeles Chargers: Defensive line/edge rusher is the favorite at +135 to be the Chargers’ first pick.
Pick 23. Green Bay Packers: Defensive line/edge rusher is even money to be the Packers’ first pick, with cornerback a close second at +125. The Packers’ famous aversion for picking wide receivers in the first round is reflected with +600 odds to take one with their first draft pick.
Pick 24. Minnesota Vikings: Cornerback is the favorite at +150, followed by safety at +200, to be the Vikings’ first pick. Michigan cornerback Will Johnson is -170 to be the first defensive back off the board followed by Jahdae Barron (+125). Barron’s O/U is set at 18.5 with a slight edge to the under at -120.
Pick 25. Houston Texans: An offensive lineman is a -260 odds-on favorite to be the Texans’ first pick.
Pick 26. Los Angeles Rams: Cornerback is +225 to be the Rams’ first pick, followed closely by an offensive lineman at +240. Texas safety Malaki Starks is -175 to last until at least the 24th pick.
Pick 27. Baltimore Ravens: Defensive line/edge rusher is the +110 favorite to be the position of the Ravens’ first pick.
Pick 28. Detroit Lions: Defensive line/edge rusher is a -200 odds-on favorite to be the position of the Lions’ first pick.
Pick 29. Washington Commanders: Defensive line/edge rusher is the favorite at +180 to be the position of the Commanders’ first pick. Ohio State wide receiver Emeka Egbuka‘s O/U is set at 29.5 with +165 to the Over and -225 to the Under.
Pick 30. Buffalo Bills: Defensive line/edge rusher is even money to be the position of the Bills’ first pick.
Pick 31. Kansas City Chiefs: Offensive line is a -120 favorite to be the position of the Chiefs’ first pick.
Pick 32. Philadelphia Eagles: Defensive line/edge rusher is even money to be the position of the Eagles’ first pick.
