Home US SportsUFC Michael Aswell vs. Luke Riley prediction for UFC Fight Night 270

Michael Aswell vs. Luke Riley prediction for UFC Fight Night 270

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Michael Aswell and Luke Riley meet in the UFC Fight Night 270 co-main event Saturday at The O2 in London. Check out this quick breakdown of the matchup from MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom.

  • Last event’s results: 3-3

  • UFC main cards, 2026: 23-16

Michael Aswell vs. Luke Riley UFC Fight Night 270 preview

Aswell (11-3 MMA, 1-1 UFC) looks to keep the momentum going following a return to the win column with a first-round finish of Lucas Almeida in October. At 25, the former Fury FC champion has had mixed results since 2024, struggling to string together wins as the competition has grown tougher.

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Riley (12-0 MMA, 1-0 UFC) takes a co-main event slot in just his second UFC bout. The undefeated 26-year-old won his UFC debut in November by stopping Bogdan Grad in the second round. The former Cage Warriors standout has finished three consecutive opponents, adding to his career total of nine.

Michael Aswell vs. Luke Riley UFC Fight Night 270 expert pick, prediction

The co-main event in London features a potential showcase at featherweight between Luke Riley and Michael Aswell Jr.

Although it’s a bit surprising to see Riley in a co-main event slot here, the English fighter was featured in my prospects to watch column for 2025, so I can’t say that I’m completely shocked.

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Still, Aswell is a well-trained fighter from the 4 oz. Fight Club that shouldn’t be overlooked. Not only is Aswell durable and well-schooled in pocket exchanges, but the American will also likely have a strong start to the contest.

The potential problem, however, is that Aswell tends to eat his fair share of strikes – particularly from the left side. Should Riley pick up on these openings early, then the Englishman will likely start to pull away down the stretch.

The pick is for Riley to catch Aswell clean by the end of Round 2.

Michael Aswell vs. Luke Riley UFC Fight Night 270 odds

According to DraftKings, Riley is a -192 favorite, with Aswell a +160 underdog.

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Michael Aswell vs. Luke Riley UFC Fight Night 270 start time, how to watch

As the co-main event, Aswell and Riley are expected to walk to the cage at approximately 6:10 p.m. ET. The fight streams live on Paramount+.

This article originally appeared on MMA Junkie: UFC London: Michael Aswell vs. Luke Riley prediction, time

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