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There are just three games on today’s MLB slate, but we still have some MLB best bets for that action based on prices at prediction markets like Polymarket, which allow bettors all across the country to get in on some baseball action.
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Our expert MLB picks are below, with Minnesota and Kansas City continuing to start slow and Atlanta being underpriced in an advantageous matchup.
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UPDATE: Added NYM/SF + ATL/ARI best bets.
MLB expert picks for today
|
Pick |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
Josh Inglis: MIN/KC NRFI |
+108 |
|
Jon Metler: Braves ML |
-108 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis’ expert pick: Twins/Royals NRFI
Price: 48¢ (+108) at Polymarket
Things should settle down this afternoon after yesterday’s 13–9 game, which still cashed a NRFI at a similar number. The 20 mph winds are inflating the total and giving us a better price on the first inning, and through the first week of the season, neither the Twins nor the Royals has scored in the first frame. It sets up well with Taj Bradley vs. Cole Ragans, especially with potential getaway-day lineups on both sides —with a chance that key bats such as Byron Buxton and Salvador Pérez get a day off.
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Jon Metler’s expert pick: Braves ML
Price: 52¢ (-108) at Polymarket
The Braves are trading as a 52% favorite against the Diamondbacks, and I think this price is an absolute steal — I make the Braves closer to a 62% favorite in this matchup. Ryne Nelson allowed two home runs in his season debut, lasting just 4 2/3 innings, and his cutter could get him into trouble against a Braves lineup capable of barreling the ball consistently. What really stands out is the depth of Atlanta’s lineup right now: Mauricio Dubón and Dominic Smith are both hitting over .385 to start the season, helping turn the lineup over and giving a pitcher like Nelson nowhere to breathe. If the Braves can drive up his pitch count and get into the Diamondbacks’ bullpen early, it becomes a significant advantage for Atlanta.
More MLB best bets for today
|
Pick |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
NYM ML |
-118 |
|
Read analysis in our Mets vs. Giants predictions |
|
|
Braves ML |
-120 |
|
Read analysis in our Braves vs. Diamondbacks predictions |
|
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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