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The Philadelphia Phillies play host to the Chicago Cubs at Citizens Bank Park this evening.
Philly took the series opener 13-7 last night, but my Cubs vs. Phillies predictions are backing the visitors as underdogs on Tuesday.
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Here are my best free MLB picks for this NL clash on April 14.
Who will win Cubs vs Phillies today: Cubs moneyline (+120)
Riley Martin will take the mound as the Chicago Cubs opener tonight, with Colin Rea serving as a bulk reliever. Martin has looked sharp as a reliever, while Rea has a 3.18 ERA this year and pitched to a 3.95 ERA in 159 2/3 frames last season.
Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Phillies are giving the pill to Aaron Nola, who had an ugly 6.01 ERA in 2025. The veteran right-hander gives up too much hard contact and is susceptible to the long ball.
Martin and Rea are both ground-ball pitchers, and that could be the difference, with both teams boasting plenty of pop in their lineups.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Aaron Nola sits in the bottom 40th percentile in hard-hit rate and barrel rate, with opponents slugging .471 against him since the start of last season.
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Cubs vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-110)
Although both of these teams have middling numbers this season, they combined for 20 runs last night. Each club scored at a high level last year and has dangerous lineups on paper, so they should find their groove eventually.
I’m expecting the Cubs’ big bats to get to Nola, which is why I like them as underdogs on the moneyline.
That said, I also don’t have much faith in Rea, who finished in the 25th percentile in xERA (4.55), xBA (.261), and barrel rate (10.3%) last year.
Rohit Ponnaiya’s 2026 Transparency Record
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ML/RL bets: 3-5, -2.88 units
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Over/Under bets: 4-1, +2.75 units
Cubs vs Phillies odds
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Moneyline: Cubs +120 | Phillies -140
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Run line: Cubs +1.5 (-156) | Phillies -1.5 (+150)
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Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-110) | Under 9.5 (-110)
Cubs vs Phillies trend
The Over is 6-2 in Chicago’s last eight games (+4.90 Units / 54% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Phillies.
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How to watch Cubs vs Phillies and game info
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Location |
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
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Date |
Tuesday, April 14, 2026 |
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First pitch |
6:40 p.m. ET |
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TV |
truTV, TBS |
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Cubs starting pitcher |
Riley Martin |
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Phillies starting pitcher |
Aaron Nola |
Cubs vs Phillies latest injuries
Cubs vs Phillies weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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