Home US SportsNFL Conspiracy Report: Colts GM Chris Ballard Has Leaked the 2026 Draft Plan

Conspiracy Report: Colts GM Chris Ballard Has Leaked the 2026 Draft Plan

by
Conspiracy Report: Colts GM Chris Ballard Has Leaked the 2026 Draft Plan

First, I’d like to start by saying this article is presented as a “conspiracy theory” because that’s how this series started. I noticed that general manager Chris Ballard didn’t lie in his press conferences. He usually gave winding vague answers but he never said one thing and then did another. Armed with this observation I set out to use those interviews to read between the lines and provide you with a conspiracy article for the ages. In the beginning that’s what this was: little more than a long conspiracy theory article. But something happened along the way, I started to notice real life patterns. And I now believe that I can make real predictions based off of those patterns, and frankly, anyone paying attention could do the same.

Advertisement

So while my methodology continues to evolve as the patterns unveil themselves some things never change. I’ve spent countless hours over the past few weeks doing research, listening to old pressers, and watching every relevant interview I could get my hands on. Taking notes on the new information we’ve been given, while going back over my notes from years past.

As I’m writing this letter to you this year, like every year, I have no idea what this article is going to say. I don’t have some grand idea I’m writing toward, all I know is that this has become my favorite article to write each and every year. It’s a lot of fun to see what I can gather from the information that has been put out and by the end of the day on Saturday, April 25th, we will all be able to sit back and marvel at how wrong I have most likely been.

So put on your tinfoil hat, pour your favorite drink and settle in to a comfortable chair for these next several thousand (or so) words, as I read through the lines, follow the money, listen to my gut and draw conclusions (that may or may not actually be there) all the way to exposing the Colts 2026 draft plans. This is the middle ground between light and shadow, between science and superstition. This is the dimension of imagination. Welcome to the Twilight Zone.

For the past seven years, I have believed that I could piece together the puzzle that was the Indianapolis Colts 20192020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024. and 2025 draft plans. In each of the past seven years, I’ve invested a lot of time and effort sifting through the clues to find possible answers to the question: what will the Indianapolis Colts do in the draft?

Advertisement

A question that I found some success in answering a year ago, which was a much needed bounce back from my complete whiff in 2024. Prior to 2024, however, I was on quite a run.

Both 2022 and 2023 were banner years for this series. In 2023 I hit on four picks. Correctly naming Anthony Richardson, Juju Brents, Darius Rush and Daniel Scott. In 2022 I was able to predict four of the first five picks, correctly naming Jelani Woods, Alec Pierce, Bernhard Raimann and Eric Johnson. I also listed UDFA signing Ryan Van Demark. I did name both Marcel Dabo and Dallis Flowers in the article as special teamers the Colts might be interested in- but I won’t give myself too much credit for those two, as they failed to make my final list of 14 names, so they don’t really count.

In 2021 I missed every single name, zero correct picks. 2020, I hit on Michael Pittman Jr.. And in 2019 I hit on Rock Ya-Sin and Ben Banogu. So from the start of this series I correctly predicted by year; two, one, zero, four, four names again, then zero and two.

What does it mean? I believe it means that the Colts have a fairly predictable process when it comes to the draft, in reality I think most teams likely do but it’s impossible for someone with a busy professional life, who maintains a social calendar, complete with a complex, albeit highly rewarding, full set of familial obligations, to organize, track, research, maintain and update (never mind actually doing anything with) the data of more than one team. And because the NFL draft, in it’s nature, is so unpredictable that even a predictable process can turn in unforeseen results. Leading up to the 2018 NFL draft everyone knew that the Cleveland Browns would be taking a quarterback with the first pick of the draft. Few people believed (until the day/night before the draft) that Baker Mayfield would be their pick. Mock drafts slotted a lot of other quarterbacks that year (Darnold, Allen and even Josh Rosen) into being the Browns signal caller of the future, but the few who slotted Mayfield into that slot were ridiculed for their prediction. So when the Browns selected Mayfield, it created a butterfly effect of sorts for the rest of the draft. Many people believed that Denver (who drafted fifth) would take a quarterback but what if the quarterback they wanted was Baker Mayfield? What if the Jets board had Sam Darnold as QB1 and Josh Allen as QB2? Does that mean that if the Browns would have taken Darnold, the Jets would have taken Josh Allen and the Broncos would have taken Mayfield instead of pass rusher Bradley Chubb? 2018 turned in another surprising pick from the Browns at number four overall, with their selection of cornerback Denzel Ward. Most expected them to draft Chubb and had they done so, does that mean the Broncos would have taken Quenton Nelson? Maybe linebacker Roquan Smith? How would those things have impacted every other teams strategy for the rest of the draft? It’s impossible to know but one single surprise has the potential to ripple in massive, unpredictable ways.

Advertisement

In 2019 we saw an even more surprising selection of edge defender Clelin Ferrell at fourth overall to the Oakland Raiders.

In 2020 the Green Bay Packers traded up to select quarterback Jordan Love. The Seahawks took linebacker Jordyn Brooks (who many believed would be a day two pick) and the Philadelphia Eagles selection of Jalen Hurts at 53.

2021 saw the San Francisco 49ers take Trey Lance third, instead of Mac Jones. Many people believed the Carolina Panthers would take a quarterback and selected cornerback Jaycee Horn with the 9th pick instead.

The next year, the Jaguars picked Travon Walker over Aiden Hutchinson and five defensive players went in the first five picks (the first time that had happened in more than 40 years). A.J. Brown was traded from the Tennessee Titans to the Eagles and Bill Belichick made it clear that his best days as a GM were far gone when he took Cole Strange at 29.

Advertisement

In 2023 the Texans traded back into the top five to pick edge Will Anderson Jr.. Many people expected the Colts to take Will Levis Jr. and few people expected the Atlanta Falcons to use a top 10 pick on running back Bijan Robinson, despite having second year back Tyler Allgeier coming off of a 1,000 yard rookie season.

2024 turned in one of the most shocking top 10 picks that I can remember when the Falcons selected Michael Penix Jr. after having just signed Kirk Cousins to a massive deal in free agency (as it turns out we were right to be shocked, it was an incredibly dumb move at the time and hindsight shows us we were correct to think so). That move coupled with six quarterbacks being picked inside the top 12 and no defensive players being selected until the Colts took Laiatu Latu with the 15th overall pick which probably only happened because the Raiders surprised everyone with their move to take tight end Brock Bowers, despite having taken Michael Mayer at 35th overall the year before.

And a year ago no one should have been surprised that the Chicago Bears took a tight end with the 11th pick, but many were surprised they took Colston Loveland over Tyler Warren, which freed the Colts to sprint to the podium with their card (and despite what weird people on the internet will tell you, so far it looks like both teams made the right decision for them). The Jaguars made a seemingly insane trade to move up to number two overall to take Travis Hunter. And I understand why they did it. I don’t go to many college games in person. Maybe one every few years. But I sought out tickets to watch Colorado and Travis Hunter when they played the Kansas Jayhawks in Arrowhead Stadium (30 minutes from my house), I desperately wanted to see him play, live. The more surprising part was that the Browns made the move for what looked like the most exciting two-way prospect potentially since Deion Sanders. The Falcons make this list again by trading their 2026 first rounder to move back into the draft to take edge James Pierce Jr. (who has since been charged with three felonies and a misdemeanor for various domestic violence allegations) and just a year later the LA Rams will happily use the 13th overall pick they got from Atlanta.

And those things, those surprises and the things that ripple off of them more than anything else, is what makes predicting the Colts draft so difficult each and every year. Far more than predicting what positions the team will take, what types of players they desire and the priority they place on filling each position.

Advertisement

Last season this is what I said about the two players that were hits from THE List:

Tyler Warren Penn State- N/A RAS (did not test due to being good enough not to)- Just click on that link. It’s Lance Zierlein’s scouting report for Warren. It reads like Steichen talking about his ideal tight end up above. Go find any scouting report you want from any reputable person who grades players year in and year out and you’ll likely find the same. Look, I get it. Everyone is tired of seeing mock draft after mock draft list Tyler Warren to the Colts. But rarely is there so obvious a player who so perfectly fits what a team needs, roughly in the area of the draft that it could all come together. My question isn’t “would the Colts draft Tyler Warren if given the opportunity” it’s “will they have the opportunity” and that’s a tough question to answer. He isn’t the prospect that Brock Bowers was a year ago, but 31 teams watched Bowers break records and 12 of those teams select before Indy this year. The Colts have a unicorn shaped hole in their offense and Warren is a unicorn.

Jalen Travis Iowa State9.08 RAS Travis is a name to know for the Colts for a few reasons. First, Chris Ballard seems to have a thing for massive offensive linemen and Travis clocks in at nearly 6’8” 340 pounds. The last time Ballard drafted a prospect built in a similar way was 2017 and Zach Banner never panned out for Indy. The difference between Banner and Travis is that Banner’s RAS score was an astounding 1.45 with Travis, Ballard, has the opportunity to draft a massive human who is also a very good relative athlete. If you were to slide him in to guard Travis’ RAS jumps to 9.43. He started his college career at Princeton before transferring to Iowa State as a fifth year senior (I presume as a graduate transfer). He also won the 2024 Coach Wooden Citizenship Cup, an award that athletes from across all sports were nominated for. Interestingly his cousin is former Colts tight end Ross Travis, whom Chris Ballard brought to Indy from the Kansas City Chiefs in 2017. He is absolutely massive, has ties to Ballard, an RAS score over 9, very smart, very good person by all accounts. Look, I don’t know where he fits on the 2025 Indianapolis Colts, I just know there are a lot of arrows pointing at this guy.

I can’t take too much credit for Warren, it was such an obvious pick and I really didn’t think he would be on the board when Indy selected. Jalen Travis, however, was about as firm as a hit as you’ll find. He ticked off every metric the Colts desire and was available in the fourth round, right about the time I believed Indy would be looking to find offensive line depth.

I also want to point out what I said about Wyett Ekler in last years article:

Wyett Ekeler, Safety, Wyoming- 8.5 RAS The brother of UDFA legend Austin Ekeler, Wyett is unlikely to be drafted, but this kid is going to be in someone’s camp. If not for his size 5’11” 199 pounds, his RAS score would have been well over 9, His nearly 42” vertical, almost 11’ broad jump and 6.8 second 3-cone are wild. Ekeler might not be a natural fit at safety but could potentially find a role coming downhill as a star defender eventually. But he will be able to help someone on teams from day one. In a draft that lacks star power, finding starters and contributors becomes the name of the game and with those athletic traits it would probably be a good idea for some team to nab him in the seventh so they don’t miss out on this kid.

The Colts didn’t draft Ekeler (or sign him as a UDFA post draft) but go ahead and click on this link. I can’t count it in any real way, but it’s hard to say I wasn’t right about the Colts likely having some level of interest in this kid.

Advertisement

In the history of this series I’ve gotten a lot of things right, but I’ve still missed on more than I’ve hit. A season ago I found some success but I need to improve. I’ll probably never get back to the success I had in ‘22 and ‘23 and that’s alright.

No matter what happens I’m still proud of that run.

But there’s still hope I can make it back.

I had a bit of success a season ago, but it wasn’t enough. And we can all laugh when I inevitably fail to get a single name right and I go right back to my 2024 ways. But I believe that this series has absolutely hit on something more than just luck. I still believe the clues are out there and I still believe I can find them.

Advertisement

But you don’t have to believe me. Let me show you, again.

2025 was, ultimately, a good year for this series. A hit is a hit, though predicting Tyler Warren was almost like predicting that I’ll wake up tomorrow and my grass will still be green. But my entire goal is to give you names on THE List that will be Indianapolis Colts come training camp and Tyler Warren counts all the same. Jalen Travis, on the other hand. That was a solid hit. I dug through dozens of offensive line prospects and I found a guy that I thought would be a Ballard pick. Turns out, I was right but the Colts made 8 picks last season and I only gave you two guys. That’s a 25% hit rate. The only way to do better is to figure out where I went wrong.

They didn’t prioritize linebacker.

Last year at the Combine, Chris Ballard was seemingly asked 500 questions about the quarterback competition. Meanwhile he was asked, what felt like, a throwaway question at the end of that press conference about a position that lost a starter and didn’t fill it in any meaningful way in free agency. Ultimately, I heard what I wanted to hear.

Source link

You may also like