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The home team won the first four games of the Eastern Conference semifinals between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Detroit Pistons, but the road team prevailed in Games 5 and 6.
I’m calling for the home team – and its much-criticized center – to deliver a victory in front of the Detroit faithful on Sunday, and my Cavaliers vs Pistons predictions expect Jalen Duren and Co. to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals for a date with the New York Knicks.
Here are my best NBA picks for Sunday’s win-or-go-home showdown from Little Caesars Arena.
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Cavaliers vs Pistons Game 7 prediction
Cavaliers vs Pistons best bet: Jalen Duren Over 21.5 points+rebounds+assists (-115)
Who doesn’t love a good redemption story?
After getting benched for the entire fourth quarter and overtime of the Detroit Pistons narrow Game 5 loss, Jalen Duren responded with 15 points and 11 rebounds in Game 6.
The Cleveland Cavaliers’ interior defense has been exploitable on the road in these playoffs. The Cavs have the second-lowest defensive rebound percentage (63.5), and they’ve surrendered the fifth-most points in the paint (48.7) and sixth-most second-chance points.
Among players with at least 30 minutes per game this postseason, Duren ranks fourth in offensive rebounds (3.7) and second in offensive rebound percentage (12.4).
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Jalen Duren has attempted 4.7 free throws at home compared to just 1.8 on the road this postseason. The Pistons are 6-2 when he’s attempted at least four free throws.
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Cavaliers vs Pistons Game 7 same-game parlay
Cade Cunningham has dished 9+ dimes in four of seven home games, and the Pistons are 3-1 in those contests. Cunningham ranks third in potential assists overall (15) and at home (16.3) this postseason.
His team has shot more efficiently at home, which should lead to a bump in helpers.
The Pistons nearly won Game 5 before dominating in Game 6, and they’ve got momentum on their side. Detroit is 5-2 straight up at home this postseason with an 8.1 Net Rating, and Cleveland is just 1-5 on the road with a -8.2 Net Rating.
Cavaliers vs Pistons SGP
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Jalen Duren Over 21.5 points+rebounds+assists
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Cade Cunningham Over 8.5 assists
Cavaliers vs Pistons odds for Game 7
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Spread: Cavaliers +4.5 | Pistons -4.5
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Moneyline: Cavaliers +160 | Pistons -190
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Over/Under: Over 205.5 | Under 205.5
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Cavaliers vs Pistons betting trend to know
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+12.22 Units / 14% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Cavaliers vs. Pistons.
How to watch Cavaliers vs Pistons Game 7
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Location |
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI |
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Date |
Sunday, May 17, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
8:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Prime Video |
Cavaliers vs Pistons latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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