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2026 NBA mock draft: AI predictions for all 30 first-round picks

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2026 NBA mock draft: AI predictions for all 30 first-round picks

The 2026 NBA Draft is less than two weeks away, and the latest batch of national mock drafts suggest there is no consensus yet on how the picks will fall outside of the top four. BYU’s A.J. Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson of Kansas, Duke’s Cameron Boozer and UNC’s Caleb Wilson are the odds-on favorites to go in the top-four in some order, with Dybantsa still the trendy choice to go No. 1 overall to the Washington Wizards.

But predictions for what happens from there remain unsettled, and the changes are perhaps best reflected through the latest mock draft curated by USA TODAY Sports using Microsoft Copilot’s AI chat bot. Artificial intelligence adjusted its take on the draft only one week after its previous run-through with this mock draft exercise.

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So Illinois guard Keaton Wagler, Michigan’s Aday Mara and Baylor’s Cameron Carr moved up based on Microsoft Copilot’s analysis of the latest mock drafts, prospect analysis, team needs and rumors and intel related to pre-draft workouts and front office discussions. Koa Peat of Arizona and Houston‘s Chris Cenac Jr., meanwhile, saw their stock drop in the eyes of AI.

The real answers are likely to be shrouded in mystery until the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft begins on June 23.

Here’s a breakdown of Microsoft Copilot AI’s latest 2026 NBA mock draft, including the chatbot’s reasoning for making each first-round pick:

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2025: Cooper Flagg, Dallas Mavericks

(Brad Penner, Imagn Images)

2026 NBA mock draft by USA TODAY Sports

You can compare AI’s picks to the latest USA TODAY 2026 NBA mock draft by clicking here.

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2026 NBA mock draft: AI picks entire first round

USA TODAY Sports asked Microsoft Copilot AI to generate a mock draft for the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft featuring only players eligible this year now that the NBA draft withdrawl deadline passed for college players. The chatbot was asked to base its selections on current mock drafts from reputable websites, as well as the latest intel on team needs, prospect analysis, pre-draft workouts and the most up-to-date draft withdrawal news.

Note: AI models still have issues with accuracy as seen in the mock draft below. Of particular note, Microsoft Copilot needed additional prompts after several picks were inaccurately assigned to teams. The average mock draft pick referenced for each player was compiled by USA TODAY Sports using 13 of the latest mock drafts from national websites around the country, including USA TODAY.

  • Average mock draft pick: 1

  • AI analysis: “A franchise-caliber scoring wing with elite size and shot-creation gives Washington the offensive centerpiece it’s lacked.”

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2. Utah Jazz: Darryn Peterson, Kansas

  • Average mock draft pick: 2

  • AI analysis: “Utah lands a polished three-level scorer who fits seamlessly as a long-term backcourt engine.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 3

  • AI analysis: “Boozer’s production, feel, and physicality make him the safest star bet to anchor Memphis’ next era.”

4. Chicago Bulls: Caleb Wilson, North Carolina

  • Average mock draft pick: 4

  • AI analysis: “Chicago swings on two-way upside with a versatile forward who can impact both ends immediately.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 6

  • AI analysis: “A dynamic lead guard gives the Clippers a much-needed infusion of young shot creation.”

6. Brooklyn Nets: Mikel Brown Jr., Louisville

  • Average mock draft pick: 7

  • AI analysis: “Brooklyn bets on elite scoring upside with a guard capable of becoming a primary offensive option.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 8

  • AI analysis: “The Kings add an explosive playmaker who raises both tempo and long-term ceiling.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 11

  • AI analysis: “Atlanta targets size and rim protection with a unique 7-footer who can anchor the defense.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 9

  • AI analysis: “A versatile combo guard provides secondary creation and scoring punch to stabilize the offense.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 5

  • AI analysis: “Milwaukee adds a steady, high-IQ guard who can contribute right away in a win-now rotation.”

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See NBA mock draft first‑round projections

1. Washington Wizards: AJ Dybantsa
TEAM: BYU | POSITION: Wing | BORN: Massachusetts | HEIGHT: 6-9 | DRAFT AGE: 19 – The Wizards have the second-worst offense in the NBA and could instantly inject life into their offense by selecting AJ Dybantsa, the NCAA scoring champion and Julius Erving Award winner. He emphasized that point during his one game for BYU in March Madness, putting up 35 points and 10 rebounds. The Big 12 Rookie of the Year led the nation in unassisted points scored (680) by a wide margin this season, per CBB Analytics. The emerging star also had 40 points against Kansas State in the Big 12 Tournament on March 10 and averaged 28.8 points per game over his final 17 appearances.

(Troy Wayrynen, Imagn Images)

  • Average mock draft pick: 10

  • AI analysis: “Golden State grabs a long, skilled forward who fits its motion system and future wing needs.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 13

  • AI analysis: “OKC continues stockpiling upside with a creative scoring guard who adds offensive versatility.”

13. Miami Heat: Karim Lopez, New Zealand Breakers (NBL)

  • Average mock draft pick: 14

  • AI analysis: “Miami lands a tough, energetic wing tailor-made for its development system.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 12

  • AI analysis: “A mature, productive forward gives Charlotte immediate frontcourt reliability.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 18

  • AI analysis: “Chicago makes a high-upside gamble on an elite defensive prospect with game-changing tools.”

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16. Memphis Grizzlies: Cameron Carr, Baylor

  • Average mock draft pick: 15

  • AI analysis: “Memphis adds perimeter shooting and athleticism to complement its frontcourt cornerstone.”

17. Oklahoma City Thunder: Dailyn Swain, Texas

  • Average mock draft pick: 23

  • AI analysis: “Another switchable wing fits perfectly into OKC’s defensive identity and ball movement ethos.”

18. Charlotte Hornets: Hannes Steinbach, Washington

  • Average mock draft pick: 17

  • AI analysis: “Charlotte invests in interior size and rebounding to stabilize its young core.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 19

  • AI analysis: “Toronto secures a steady, efficient guard to organize its offense and limit mistakes.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 21

  • AI analysis: “San Antonio adds an athletic big who complements its frontcourt with energy and defense.”

21. Detroit Pistons: Christian Anderson, Texas Tech

  • Average mock draft pick: 20

  • AI analysis: “Detroit strengthens its guard depth with a pass-first playmaker who enhances ball movement.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 16

  • AI analysis: “Philadelphia adds physicality and rebounding to bolster its frontcourt rotation.”

23. Atlanta Hawks: Koa Peat, Arizona

  • Average mock draft pick: 25

  • AI analysis: “Atlanta brings in a physical forward who adds toughness and interior scoring.”

24. New York Knicks: Allen Graves, Santa Clara

  • Average mock draft pick: 22

  • AI analysis: “New York targets a productive, hard-nosed forward who fits its identity and rotation needs.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 24

  • AI analysis: “Los Angeles injects youth and scoring ability into its backcourt rotation.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 27

  • AI analysis: “Denver adds a scoring guard who can carry bench units and relieve offensive pressure.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 26 (appeared in 12/13 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Boston selects a long, floor-spacing wing who fits seamlessly into its spacing-heavy system.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 29 (appeared in 12/13 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Minnesota adds a mobile big to deepen its frontcourt and protect against lineup matchup issues.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 30 (appeared in 10/13 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Cleveland strengthens its interior toughness with a physical rebounder built for playoff basketball.”

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30. Dallas Mavericks: Joshua Jefferson, Iowa State

  • Average mock draft pick: 28 (appeared in 11/13 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Dallas lands a versatile forward whose feel and defensive flexibility fit a modern, balanced roster build.”

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: NBA mock draft 2026: AI predicts first round picks after latest rumors

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