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The New York Liberty are marching toward another banner this month, their unbeaten Commissioner’s Cup run putting the powerhouse in position to claim another. The Washington Mystics should hardly pose a speed bump in that pursuit.
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Still, my Mystics vs. Liberty predictions and WNBA picks do expect New York’s focus to wander a bit on Sunday, June 14.
Mystics vs Liberty prediction
Mystics vs Liberty best bet: Over 166.5 (-110)
After scuffling to start the season, the New York Liberty defense engaged in the Commissioner’s Cup, ranking No. 2 in rating in the WNBA in the last four games, 3.3 points better per 100 possessions than it was to start the season.
Still, New York has effectively clinched a spot in the Cup final, needing to just win one of its final two games. That defense may lapse.
It did the last time these two met, the Washington Mystics scoring 85 points in regulation. Washington is itself defensively flawed. This total is simply a bucket too low.
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COVERS INTEL:
The Mystics rank No. 12 in the WNBA in opponents’ 3-point percentage, at 36.3%, while the Liberty offense ranks No. 4 in hitting 3s at 36.2%.
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Mystics vs Liberty same-game parlay
The Liberty are on a six-game winning streak, hence needing to win just one more to advance in the Commissioner’s Cup, while the Mystics are 1-4 outright this season as underdogs of more than a bucket, that one win coming two months ago.
One thing Washington can rely upon is Sonia Citron, who has cleared this prop in three of her last four games as well as in six of 10 games this season.
Mystics vs Liberty SGP
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Sonia Citron Over 16.5 points
Douglas Farmer’s 2026 Transparency Record
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Best bet: 4-3, +0.6 units
Mystics vs Liberty odds
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Spread: Mystics +13.5 | Liberty -13.5
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Moneyline: Mystics +575 | Liberty -850
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Over/Under: Over 166.5 | Under 166.5
Mystics vs Liberty trend
Four of Washington’s last five games have gone Over their totals and by an average of 4.5 points even when including the one Under. Find more WNBA betting trends.
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How to watch Mystics vs Liberty
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Location |
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
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Date |
Sunday, June 14, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
3:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
NBA TV |
Mystics vs Liberty latest injuries
Mystics: Kiki Iriafen F (Out).
Liberty: Sabrina Ionescu G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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