Rays vs. Blue Jays prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for July 23

The AL East-leading Tampa Bay Rays (59-42) will look to complete a four-game sweep of the struggling Toronto Blue Jays (46-56) this afternoon. Tampa Bay has outscored Toronto 23-5 through the first three games of the series. The Rays lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Yankees while the Jays sit in the cellar 13.5 games behind Tampa.

Last night, the Rays rode a dominant start from Griffin Jax and a couple RBIs from Victor Mesa Jr. to a 4-2 win. Jax allowed just one run over six innings to earn his sixth win of the season. Mesa failed to go yard for the first time in four games, but he did pick up a couple hits. He has now hit in four straight games (5-15) with three home runs and five runs batted in.

The pitching matchup today features Ian Seymour (6-2, 4.79 ERA) for Tampa Bay against former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber (1-1, 5.70 ERA) for Toronto.

The 27-year-old Seymour has struggled in each of his last three starts allowing 12 runs in just 11.2 innings. In his most recent start, Seymour faced Boston on July 18 and lasted only three innings, allowing three earned runs on two hits (both home runs) and two walks while striking out four.

Shane Bieber (elbow) is still working his way back into form after missing significant time and has made only five starts this season. He threw six scoreless innings with six strikeouts against the White Sox on July 18. The question entering Thursday is whether that outing represented a true turning point or simply a one-start rebound.

Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game Details and How to Watch: Rays vs. Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026
Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, Rays.TV, Sportsnet, WMOR-TV

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

The Latest Odds: Rays vs. Blue Jays

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Rays (-112), Toronto Blue Jays (-108)
Spread: Rays -1.5 (+149), Blue Jays +1.5 (-181)

Probable Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Rays vs. Blue Jays for July 23

Rays: Ian Seymour
Season Totals: 67.2 IP, 6-2, 4.79 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 79K, 26 BB
Blue Jays: Shane Bieber
Season Totals: 23.2 IP, 1-1, 5.70 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 19K, 12 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Rays vs. Blue Jays

Yandy Diaz is 4-16 in this series after going 0-5 last night
Nick Fortes is riding a modest 4-game hitting streak (7-15)
Kyle Okamoto is without a hit in his last 6 games (0-19)

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Top Betting Trends & Insights: Rays vs. Blue Jays

The Rays are 60-41 on the Run Line this season
The Blue Jays are 45-57 on the Run Line this season
The OVER has cashed 46 times in Tampa’s 101 games this season (46-50-5)
The OVER has cashed 52 times in the Blue Jays’ 102 games this season (52-46-4)

Expert picks & predictions: Rays vs. Blue Jays

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s game between the Rays and the Blue Jays:

Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Rays on the Moneyline.
Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Rays on the Run Line.
Total: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total OVER 8.5.

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