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Round two between Minnesota and Toronto tips off tonight at 8 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
As 11.5-point road favorites at Coca-Cola Coliseum, Minnesota highlights our Lynx vs. Tempo predictions and WNBA picks for Thursday, July 30 where we’re targeting the Over in another expected shootout.
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UPDATE: Added Olivia Miles prop!
Lynx vs Tempo prediction
Lynx vs Tempo best bet: Over 187.5 (-110)
Earlier this week, the Toronto Tempo’s defense came through yet again. It got eviscerated by the Minnesota Lynx’s offense and cashed its fifth Over in the Tempo’s last six games – it was also Minnesota’s ninth Over in its last 10.
With the Tempo’s defense sitting last in the league in rating (114.1), allowing the highest rim rate (38.4%), and giving up the third-highest effective field-goal percentage (53.6%), Toronto should do its part for the Over again.
But the Tempo are also a challenging matchup for a Lynx defense that’s last in the league in defensive 3-point rate (40.6%) and allows the fourth-most threes per game (9.1). Toronto is a 3-point-heavy team and hit 13 of them against Minnesota earlier this week.
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However, the Over should only be in play if this game total stays below 190.5.
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COVERS INTEL: The Tempo’s defensive rating over their last 10 games has slipped to 120.1, by far the worst in the WNBA.
Lynx vs Tempo same-game parlay
When these two took the court on Tuesday, they combined for 193 points.
WNBA Rookie of the Year odds favorite Olivia Miles was the best player on the floor, with 24 points and eight assists while shooting 80% from three. She should power Minnesota’s offense again against Toronto’s bottom-tier defense.
But it wasn’t just Minnesota’s offense that made it a high-scoring game … a big reason the Tempo were able to contribute to the Over hitting was Marina Mabrey.
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With Brittney Sykes still out, Mabrey has jumped to third in the WNBA in usage rate (31.4%) and leads the league in made threes per game (3.3). Given the Lynx’s issues with perimeter defense, Mabrey will likely take double-digit 3-point attempts against them again.
Lynx vs Tempo SGP
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Olivia Miles Over 25.5 points + assists
Lynx vs Tempo player prop pick
Olivia Miles Over 25.5 points + assists (-110)
The addition of Miles in Minnesota has helped the Lynx climb to the top of the WNBA championship odds. And now with Napheesa Collier back from injury, Miles has even more opportunity.
Collier is one of the three best players in the WNBA, and with her out there, defenses can no longer make Miles their main focus. We saw that when the Tempo were cooked by the rookie earlier this week.
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Not only did Collier provide Miles with a perfect option to pass to, but she also opened up plenty of looks from behind the arc for the rookie (Miles shot 4-for-5 from three).
With the No. 2 pick averaging 27.4 combined points and assists per game since the beginning of June, the Over is worth considering at -120 or better.
Rob Paul’s 2026 Transparency Record
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Best bet: 2-2, -0.2 units
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Player prop: 1-3, -2.2 units
Lynx vs Tempo odds
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Spread: Minnesota -11.5 (-115) | Toronto +11.5 (-105)
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Moneyline: Minnesota -700 | Toronto +500
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Over/Under: Over 187.5 (-110) | Under 187.5 (-110)
Lynx vs Tempo trend
The Over is 5-0 in Toronto’s last five games following a straight-up loss. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Lynx vs Tempo
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Location |
Coca-Cola Coliseum, Toronto, ON |
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Date |
Thursday, July 30, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
8:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Prime Video |
Lynx vs Tempo latest injuries
Lynx: Emma Cechova F (Out).
Tempo: Brittney Sykes G (Out), Nyara Sabally F (Questionable), Isabelle Harrison F (Questionable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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