(This story was updated to add new information.)
Take a look at the 2025 betting upsets in the UFC.
For an underdog to be included on this list, the favorite had to be a consensus minimum of -150 across major sportsbooks. That will keep the list from being populated with truly minor upsets from betting lines that easily could have swung the opposite way.
Fighters are listed alphabetically, followed by an event-by-event upset tracker.
(Updated through UFC Fight Night 254)
Hyder Amil def. William Gomis
Event: UFC Fight Night 253 | March 1, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Hyder Amil def. William Gomis via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Odds: Gomis -220, Amil +180
Raoni Barcelos def. Payton Talbott
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Raoni Barcelos def. Payton Talbott via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
Odds: Talbott -1200, Barcelos +750
Jan 18, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Payton Talbott (red gloves) fights Raoni Barcelos (blue gloves) during UFC 311 at Intuit Dome. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images
Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04
Odds: Johnson -180, Bunes +150
Priscila Cachoeira def. Josiane Nunes
Event: UFC Fight Night 254 | March 15, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Priscila Cachoeira def. Josiane Nunes via knockout (punch) – Round 1, 2:46 (UFC Fight Night 254)
Odds: Nunes -185, Cachoeira +155
Jared Cannonier def. Gregory Rodrigues
Event: UFC Fight Night 251 | Feb. 15, 2025
Location: Las Vegas
Result: Jared Cannonier def. Gregory Rodrigues via TKO (punches) – Round 4, 0:21
Odds: Rodrigues -260, Cannonier +210
Ion Cutelaba def. Ibo Aslan
Event: UFC Fight Night 252 | Feb. 22, 2025
Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Result: Ion Cutelaba def. Ibo Aslan via submission (arm-triangle choke) – Round 1, 2:51
Odds: Aslan -220, Cutelaba +180
Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56
Odds: Ribas -190, Dern +160
Ozzy Diaz def. Djorden Santos
Event: UFC 313 | March 8, 2025
Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Result: Ozzy Diaz def. Djorden Santos via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Santos -200, Gaethje +165
Roman Dolidze def. Marvin Vettori
Event: UFC Fight Night 254 | March 15, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Roman Dolidze def. Marvin Vettori via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-46) (UFC Fight Night 254)
Odds: Vettori -165, Dolidze +135
Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
Odds: Nurmagomedov -280, Dvalishvili +225
Rob Font def. Jean Matsumoto
Event: UFC Fight Night 252 | Feb. 22, 2025
Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Result: Rob Font def. Jean Matsumoto via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Odds: Matsumoto -205, Font +170
Justin Gaethje def. Rafael Fiziev
Event: UFC 313 | March 8, 2025
Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Result: Justin Gaethje def. Rafael Fiziev via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Fiziev -165, Gaethje +135
Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Odds: Nakamura -675, Gafurov +490
Nasrat Haqparast def. Esteban Ribovics
Event: UFC Fight Night 253 | March 1, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Nasrat Haqparast def. Esteban Ribovics via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Odds: Ribovics -265, Haqparast +210
Sam Hughes def. Stephanie Luciano
Event: UFC Fight Night 254 | March 15, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Sam Hughes def. Stephanie Luciano via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-27) (UFC Fight Night 254)
Odds: Luciano -240, Hughes +195
Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya
Nassourdine Imavov celebrates after defeating Israel Adesanya in their men’s middleweight fight during the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Fight Night 250 in Riyadh on February 1, 2025. (Photo by Fayez NURELDINE / AFP)
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya via knockout (punches) – Round 2, 0:30
Odds: Adesanya -170, Imavov +140
Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Gadzhiyasulov -275, Lopes +215
Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset
Event: UFC 312 | Feb. 8, 2025
Location: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney
Result: Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Jousset -210, Micallef +170
Chidi Njokuani def. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Event: UFC Fight Night 254 | March 15, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Chidi Njokuani def. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos via TKO (strikes) – Round 2, 2:19 (UFC Fight Night 254)
Odds: Zaleski dos Santos -210, Njokuani +170
Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Nurmagomedov -220, Oliveira +180
Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Odds: Magomedov -220, Page +180
Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Odds: Rosa -250, Perez +205
Sam Patterson def. Danny Barlow
Event: UFC Fight Night 253 | March 1, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Sam Patterson def. Danny Barlow via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 3:10
Odds: Barlow -225, Patterson +185
Andre Petroski def. Rodolfo Vieira
Event: UFC Fight Night 251 | Feb. 15, 2025
Location: Las Vegas
Result: Andre Petroski def. Rodolfo Vieira via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Vieira -285, Petroski +230
Brendson Ribeiro def. Diyar Nurgozhay
Event: UFC Fight Night 254 | March 15, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Brendson Ribeiro def. Diyar Nurgozhay via submission (kimura) – Round 2, 1:28 (UFC Fight Night 254)
Odds: Nurgozhay -400, Ribeiro +300
Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Bashi -270 Rodriguez +215
Nazim Sadykhov def. Ismael Bonfim
Event: UFC Fight Night 251 | Feb. 15, 2025
Location: Las Vegas
Result: Nazim Sadykhov def. Ismael Bonfim via TKO (doctor’s stoppage) – Round 1, 5:00
Odds: Bonfim -225, Sadykhov +185
Ricky Simon def. Javid Basharat
Event: UFC Fight Night 252 | Feb. 22, 2025
Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Result: Ricky Simon def. Javid Basharat via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 3:58
Odds: Basharat -265, Simon +210
Feb 22, 2025; Seattle, Washington, USA; Ricky Simon (red gloves) fights Javid Basharat (blue gloves) in the bantamweight bout during UFC Fight Night at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images
Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31
Odds: Medic -225, Soriano +180
Carlos Vera def. Josias Musasa
Event: UFC Fight Night 254 | March 15, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Carlos Vera def. Josias Musasa via submission (rear-naked choke) – Round 1, 3:16 (UFC Fight Night 254)
Odds: Musasa -800, Vera +550
Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele
Event: UFC 312 | Feb. 8, 2025
Location: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney
Result: Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Odds: Steele -340, Zhu +270
UFC Fight Night 254 upsets
UFC 313 upsets
UFC Fight Night 253 upsets
February upsets
- Ion Cutelaba def. Ibo Aslan via submission (arm-triangle choke) – Round 1, 2:51 (UFC Fight Night 252)
- Rob Font def. Jean Matsumoto via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) (UFC Fight Night 252)
- Ricky Simon def. Javid Basharat via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 3:58 (UFC Fight Night 252)
- Jared Cannonier def. Gregory Rodrigues via TKO (punches) – Round 4, 0:21 (UFC Fight Night 251)
- Nazim Sadykhov def. Ismael Bonfim via TKO (doctor’s stoppage) – Round 1, 5:00 (UFC Fight Night 251)
- Andre Petroski def. Rodolfo Vieira via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) (UFC Fight Night 251)
- Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) (UFC 312)
- Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) (UFC 312)
- Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya via knockout (punches) – Round 2, 0:30 (UFC Fight Night 250)
- Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) (UFC Fight Night 250)
- Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) (UFC Fight Night 250)
Feb 22, 2025; Seattle, Washington, USA; Ion Cutelaba (red gloves) celebrates defeating Ibo Aslan (blue gloves) in the light heavyweight bout during UFC Fight Night at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images
January upsets
- Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46) (UFC 311)
- Raoni Barcelos def. Payton Talbott via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26) (UFC 311)
- Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27) (UFC 311)
- Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) (UFC 311)
- Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56 (UFC Fight Night 249)
- Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) (UFC Fight Night 249)
- Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31 (UFC Fight Night 249)
- Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04 (UFC Fight Night 249)
- Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) (UFC Fight Night 249)
Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas, UFC Fight Night 249 (via UFC)
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