With Ohio State seeded No. 8 in the first 12-team College Football Playoff, the Buckeyes will face No. 9 Tennessee.
Both teams are 10-2 and considered to be comparable. Thus, predictions vary on who will win.
Ohio State vs. Tennessee predictions
From Joey Kaufman of The Dispatch:
Ohio State 30, Tennessee 24
The early feeling here is that the Buckeyes recover from a tough loss to rival Michigan and bounce back for the playoff as they did two years ago with a near upset of Georgia, the eventual national champion, in its backyard. Tennessee is formidable with a fast-paced offensive attack led by Dylan Sampson, the Southeastern Conference’s leading rusher, but it hasn’t been as explosive as Josh Heupel’s more recent teams with a first-year starting quarterback in Nico Iamaleava, a redshirt freshman. Look Jim Knowles’ side of the ball to get enough stops in a tight win for Ohio State.
From Rob Oller of The Dispatch:
Ohio State 24, Tennessee 20
Call me a sucker for a good comeback story, and Ohio State coming back from that mess against Michigan would be quite the rally cap moment. Tennessee’s strength is its defensive front — uh-oh — but I have to believe, er, choose to believe that Ryan Day and Chip Kelly have learned their lesson and will throw the ball to set up the run. The No. 8 Buckeyes’ defense will be just good enough to win the day, sending OSU to a rematch against No. 1 Oregon in the Rose Bowl.
From Paul Myerberg of USA TODAY:
Ohio State over Tennessee
This is the premier pairing of the opening round and a nice barometer of how playoff games could unfold between the best of the best in the Big Ten and SEC. Given two evenly matched teams with similar traits, two factors will make the difference in Ohio State’s favor: homefield advantage and a more credible offense. Buckeyes quarterback Will Howard has more experience and better skill options. But another big game from Volunteers signal caller Nico Iamaleava could easily shift this game in the opposite direction.
Ohio State CFP predictions
To win the national title, the Buckeyes would need to win four games.
Their quarterfinal vs. Oregon would be at the Rose Bowl on Jan. 1. The semifinals are the Orange Bowl and Cotton Bowl on Jan. 9 and 10. The championship game is in Atlanta on Jan. 20.
Here are Dispatch columnist Rob Oller‘s predictions for the CFP:
First round:
Quarterfinals:
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Texas over Arizona State
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Ohio State over Oregon
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Penn State over Boise
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Georgia over Indiana
Semifinals:
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Texas over Ohio State
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Georgia over Penn State
Championship:
Texas over Georgia
Ohio State national title odds
Ohio State is the No. 4 betting favorite to win the CFP title, according to Bet MGM.
The Buckeyes are at +500 to win the national championship. Oregon and Texas, at +350, have the best odds, followed by Georgia at +400.
The Ducks, who handed Ohio State one of its two losses this season in a 32-31 thriller on October 12, are the lone remaining undefeated team in the FBS.
Ohio State vs. Tennessee odds
Ohio State is a 7.5-point favorite over Tennessee, by BetMGM.
Ohio State vs. Tennessee over/under
The over-under for the Ohio State-Tennessee game is 47.5, per BetMGM.
Who will Ohio State play in CFP?
Ohio State, the No. 8 seed, will face No. 9 Tennessee.
Both teams are 10-2.
When does Ohio State play Tennessee in CFP?
The Buckeyes (10-2) will face Tennessee (10-2) on Saturday, Dec. 21.
What time Ohio State plays Tennessee in CFP
The Buckeyes and Tennessee will play at 8 p.m. Dec. 21.
Where is Ohio State vs. Tennessee?
Ohio State will face Tennessee at Ohio Stadium.
This will be the first game played in December in the 102-year history of the stadium.
Ohio State vs. Tennessee tickets
Tickets for the Ohio State Tennessee game range from $263-$1,228.
Ticket prices for the Ohio State vs. Tennessee game in Columbus start at $285 on VividSeats, $271 on StubHub, $263 on Gametime and $291 on Seat Geek.
To see a full list of ticket prices, visit StubHub, VividSeats, Gametime and Seat Geek.
See Ohio State tickets prices for playoff game
When do Ohio State CFP tickets go on sale to the public?
General public tickets for Ohio State’s game against Tennessee on Dec. 21 sold out in minutes on Thursday morning.
CFP schedule
First round (Dec. 20-21)
No. 10 Indiana at No. 7 Notre Dame, Friday, Dec. 20: 8 p.m. | ABC/ESPN
No. 11 SMU at No. 6 Penn State, Saturday, Dec. 21: 12 p.m. | TNT
No. 12 Clemson at No. 5 Texas, Saturday, Dec. 21: 4 p.m. | TNT
No. 9 Tennessee at No. 8 Ohio State, Saturday, Dec. 21: 8 p.m. | ABC/ESPN
Quarterfinals (Dec. 31-Jan. 1)
Fiesta Bowl: No. 3 Boise State vs. No. 6 Penn State/No. 11 SMU winner, 7:30 p.m. Tuesday, Dec. 31 | ESPN
Peach Bowl: No. 4 Arizona State vs. No. 5 Texas/No. 12 Clemson winner, 1 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 1 | ESPN
Rose Bowl: No. 1 Oregon vs. No. 8 Ohio State/No. 9 Tennessee winner, 5 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 1 | ESPN
Sugar Bowl: No. 2 Georgia vs. No. 7 Notre Dame/No. 10 Indiana winner, 8:45 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 1 | ESPN
Semifinals (Jan. 9-10)
Orange Bowl: 7:30 p.m. Thursday, Jan. 9 | ESPN
Cotton Bowl: 7:30 p.m. Friday, Jan. 10 | ESPN
CFP National Championship
7:30 p.m. Monday, Jan. 20 | Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia | ESPN
What do Ohio State fans need to know about Tennessee?
Josh Heupel’s rebuild of Tennessee involved perimeter talent.
During the Volunteers’ breakthrough in 2022, few offenses in the nation were as explosive through the air. The centerpiece was Jalin Hyatt, the Biletnikoff Award winner who stretched the field with his deep speed.
But the ninth-seeded Volunteers’ road to the expanded College Football Playoff, where they visit eight-seeded Ohio State for a first-round matchup on Dec. 21, has looked different.
Their primary playmaker is Dylan Sampson, a running back who was the leading rusher in the Southeastern Conference with 1,485 yards and 22 touchdowns this year.
It is the first time in four seasons under Heupel, a former Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback at Oklahoma, that the Volunteers have averaged more yards rushing (232) than passing (231).
The Volunteers don’t have a receiver with more than 35 receptions. Hyatt caught 67 passes when he edged out Marvin Harrison Jr. for the Biletnikoff Award two years ago.
Sampson has been a workhorse back with 256 carries. Only nine in the Football Bowl Subdivision have totaled more in 2024. His role has helped to take the load off Nico Iamaleava, a redshirt freshman quarterback who has experienced growing pains at times in his first season behind center.
Between Hendon Hooker and Joe Milton, the Volunteers had relied on senior quarterbacks in previous season to push the ball down the field vertically.
With a 5-foot-11 frame that allows him to run low to the ground, Sampson is an elusive back. He has forced 70 missed tackles while rushing, a total that leaves him tied for fifth in the FBS, per Pro Football Focus, and grinds out yards. He has gained 927 after contact.
Tennessee’s formidability in the interior extends to the defensive side of the ball as it has the nation’s eighth-ranked rush defense, allowing just under 100 rushing yards per game.
James Pearce Jr. is a star along the Volunteers’ defensive line, leading them with 7.5 sacks and 11 tackles for loss.
“Their front is very good,” Buckeyes coach Ryan Day said, “on the edge and inside.”
The Volunteers allow only 13.9 points per game, ranking fourth nationally, and have only once allowed an opponent to score more than 30 points, coming in their 31-17 loss at Georgia last month.
They play at fast pace.
Tennessee averages 24 seconds per play, the 21st-fasted tempo in the FBS, a contrast to the Buckeyes’ competition in the Big Ten. Based on this measurement, Akron, averaging 26 seconds per play, ranking 57th, was the most up-tempo opponent that Ohio State saw during the regular season.
The Volunteers’ 888 plays are the 13th-most as well.
As the Buckeyes began scouting Tennessee last week ahead of their potential matchup, it was apparent.
“They try to put stress on you with space and tempo,” Day said, “so we have to be prepared to play fast in this game. We’ve kind of started that process of what we’re going to do, getting lined up and making sure that our guys got their cleats in the dirt and go play football.”
−Joey Kaufman
What bowl games are in CFP?
The Fiesta Bowl, Peach Bowl, Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl will host quarterfinal games. The venues for this season’s semifinals are the Orange Bowl and Cotton Bowl.
CFP game locations
The four on-campus first-round CFP games:
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Dec. 20: No. 10 Indiana at No. 7 Notre Dame | 8 p.m. | ABC/ESPN
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Dec. 21: No. 11 SMU at No. 6 Penn State | 12 p.m. | TNT/MAX
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Dec. 21: No. 12 Clemson at No. 5 Texas | 4 p.m. | TNT/MAX
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Dec. 21: No. 9 Tennessee at No. 8 Ohio State | 8 p.m. | ABC/ESPN
Ohio State vs. Tennessee history
The Buckeyes and Volunteers have met only once, a 20-14 Tennessee victory in the rainy 1996 Citrus Bowl in Orlando, Florida.
Future Pro Football Hall of Famer Peyton Manning was the Tennessee quarterback and had a relatively quiet day. He threw for only 182 yards, including a 47-yard touchdown.
Ohio State tied the game on a 32-yard pass from Bobby Hoying to tight end Rickey Dudley in the fourth quarter. But Jeff Hall kicked two short field goals for the final points. Volunteers running back Jay Graham ran for 154 yards – 69 on a second-quarter touchdown – to earn MVP honors.
OSU’s Heisman Trophy-winner Eddie George ran for 101 yards and a touchdown.
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This article originally appeared on The Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State vs Tennessee predictions, odds: Who will win CFP game?
