Tonight’s high-stakes Big Ten clash at the State Farm Center features No. 8 Illinois (20-4, 11-2 Big Ten) hosting Wisconsin (16-7, 8-4 Big Ten) in a matchup where both teams are hungry for a bounce-back win following narrow overtime losses this past weekend.
The Fighting Illini, favored by 11.5 points, boast the nation’s most efficient offense, but are without standout guard Kylan Boswell (broken hand). That puts more of the onus on freshman Keaton Wagler (17.8 PPG) and the imposing 7-foot Ivisic brothers.
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Meanwhile, Wisconsin has righted the ship after struggling in December. Despite their improved play, a signature road win would certainly bolster the Badgers’ NCAA Tournament resume. They rely on their own elite backcourt duo of Nick Boyd (20.0 PPG) and John Blackwell (18.5 PPG), along with the emerging interior presence of Nolan Winter, who is coming off a career-high 26-point performance against Indiana this past weekend.
This past weekend, No. 5 Illinois saw its 12-game winning streak snapped in an 85-82 overtime loss at No. 10 Michigan State in a game that featured 12 ties and 16 lead changes. David Mirkovic led the Illini with 18 points and a career-high six assists, while Andrej Stojakovic added 17 and seven rebounds and Keaton Wagler chipped in 16 points, 14 after halftime. Despite seeing their win streak snapped, Illinois still owns a top-tier resume. They are one of just eleven teams with 6+ Quad 1 wins (6-4).
Wisconsin fell 78‑77 in overtime at Indiana this past Saturday. The Badgers rallied to erase a 14-point deficit but then were unable to protect a small lead late in regulation. Nolan Winter scored a career-high 26 points with 12 rebounds, Nick Boyd added 20 points including five 3-pointers, and John Blackwell contributed 18 points and 6 rebounds in a hard-fought effort The Badgers are now 7-2 in their last 9, including a signature win over then-No. 2 and undefeated Michigan. Before this recent surge, Wisconsin had managed to go just .500 over their previous ten games. Three of those losses were to ranked opponents. The Badgers own a 2-5 mark in Quad 1 games and 5-2 in Quad 2.
Wisconsin is ranked No. 40 in KenPom and No. 43 in the NET. Illinois is ranked No. 4 in KenPom and 4th in the NET.
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Lets take a closer look at tonight’s matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Game Details and How to Watch Live: Wisconsin at No. 8 Illinois
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Date: Tuesday, February 10, 2026
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Game Odds: Wisconsin at No. 8 Illinois
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
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Moneyline: Wisconsin Badgers (+525), Illinois Fighting Illini (-750)
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Spread: Fighting Illini -11.5
This game opened Illinois -11.5 with the Total set at 156.5.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NCAA Basketball schedule!
Expected Starting Lineups: Wisconsin at No. 8 Illinois
Wisconsin Badgers
Illinois Fighting Illini
Injury Report: Wisconsin at No. 8 Illinois
Wisconsin Badgers
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Austin Rapp (illness) is listed as questionable for Tuesday’s game
Illinois Fighting Illini
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Jason Jakstys (undisclosed) has been declared OUT for Tuesday’s game
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Kylan Boswell (hand) has been declared OUT for Tuesday’s game
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Ty Rodgers (knee) is listed as questionable for Tuesday’s game
Important stats, trends and insights: Wisconsin at No. 8 Illinois
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Illinois is 12-1 at home this season
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Wisconsin is 3-3 on the road this season
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Illinois is 14-10 ATS overall this season / 7-6 ATS at home
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Wisconsin is 12-11 ATS overall this season / 4-1 ATS on the road
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The OVER has cashed in just 8 of Illinois’ 24 games this season (8-16)
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The OVER has cashed in 13 of Wisconsin’s 23 games this season (13-10)
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Nolan Winter scored a career-high 26pts Saturday at Indiana
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Winter ranks 2nd in the Big Ten with 11 double-doubles
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John Blackwell leads Badgers and is 8th in Big Ten in made 3’s (55)
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David Mirkovic scored 18pts, pulled down 6 boards, and handed out 6 assists in 36 minutes Saturday at Michigan State
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Keaton Wagler was just 2-16 from the field in 41 minutes Saturday at Michigan State
Rotoworld Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NCAA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between Wisconsin at No. 8 Illinois:
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Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
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Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Badgers +11.5
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Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 155.5
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
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Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
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Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
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Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
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Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
