Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.
The New York Yankees are rolling, and are rightful favorites against the Athletics tonight.
Luis Severino’s walk and barrel issues give New York’s power-heavy lineup the cleaner scoring path, and that’s why my Yankees vs. Athletics predictions are laying the run line instead of paying the -155 moneyline tax on the Bombers.
Advertisement
Here are my free MLB picks for Friday, May 29.
Who will win Yankees vs A’s today: Yankees -1.5 (+108)
I see the New York Yankees‘ run line price as generous and would play it down to -110.
Luis Severino’s contact profile is a bad fit against New York. His 45th-percentile hard-hit rate and 35th-percentile barrel rate are real concerns against a Yankees lineup built to punish mistakes, led by an MLB-best 11.1% barrel rate and an overall depth of hard-hitting bats.
Carlos Rodon also adds separation on the mound. His 2.96 expected ERA and .153 expected BA allowed point to a sharper current form than Severino’s, giving New York the cleaner starter and louder offense.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
New York has the sharper home-run shape (41.9% pull rate and 28.6% fly-ball rate) compared to the A’s (36.3% and 25.3%).
Advertisement
Yankees vs A’s Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-110)
New York has a strong path to crooked innings, and the A’s aren’t a dead offense against left-handed pitching.
While Rodon’s contact profile is excellent, his 18.6% walk rate creates risk against an Athletics lineup with plenty of pop.
Severino is the bigger trigger. His high walk rate is also a risk factor in this matchup.
I project the Yankees to drive the total, and the A’s to do enough to get this Over. I’d play this to -130.
Chris Hatfield’s 2026 Transparency Record
-
ML/RL bets: 24-19, +4.56 units
-
Over/Under bets: 28-15, +15.34 units
Yankees vs A’s odds
-
Moneyline: Yankees -155 | A’s +145
-
Run line: Yankees -1.5 | A’s +1.5
-
Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Yankees vs A’s trend
The Yankees have covered the F5 run line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.50 Units / 16% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. A’s.
Advertisement
How to watch Yankees vs A’s and game info
|
Location |
Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, CA |
|
Date |
Friday, May 29, 2026 |
|
First pitch |
9:40 p.m. ET |
|
TV |
YES, NBC Sports California |
|
Yankees starting pitcher |
Carlos Rodon |
|
A’s starting pitcher |
Luis Severino |
Yankees vs A’s latest injuries
Yankees vs A’s weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.
