All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I’ve created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday’s top batter prop bets
Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 HR (+360)
Projection: 26% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.84 EV
Carson Kelly | OVER 0.5 HR (+546)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.15 EV
Miguel Vargas | OVER 0.5 RBI (+228)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.18 EV
Daniel Schneemann | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+125)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.66 EV
Dustin Harris | UNDER 0.5 H (+137)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.44 EV
Sunday’s top pitcher prop bets
Ranger Suarez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-136)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.06 EV
Braxton Ashcraft | UNDER 5.5 K (+104)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.05 EV
Dustin May | OVER 4.5 K (+116)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.20 EV
Luis Castillo | OVER 4.5 K (-127)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.40 EV
Luis Castillo | OVER 2.5 ER (+117)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.52 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today’s action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season’s play.
Top Betting Trends
St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline:
The Cardinals have won this bet in six straight games. (+8.20 Units / 137% ROI). Current odds: +129
Chicago White Sox Team Total OVER:
The White Sox have gone over their team totals in nine straight away games. (+9.35 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +100
Cleveland Guardians 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
(away) The Guardians have won this bet in six straight away games. (+6.10 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ +114
