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San Antonio Spurs guard Dylan Harper hasn’t played like a rookie in the NBA Finals and sure didn’t sound like one with his team down 0-2 to the New York Knicks.
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Harper, who scored 16 and 15 points in the first two games of the series, told the media, “It’s not the first to win two. We can’t really hang our heads on that.”
San Antonio is a 2-point underdog for Game 3 in Madison Square Garden, and my Spurs vs. Knicks predictions like Harper to shine in a homecoming of sorts for the New Jersey native.
My NBA picks are taking Harper to top his scoring prop on June 8.
Spurs vs Knicks Game 3 prediction
Spurs vs Knicks best bet: Dylan Harper Over 12.5 points (-112)
Dylan Harper went from rookie to floor general in Game 2.
Harper recorded his most minutes and his third most FGAs of the playoffs – save for OT in Game 1 versus OKC.
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More importantly, he was the catalyst for the San Antonio Spurs’ late run, scoring nine of his 15 points in the fourth quarter by attacking the rim and drawing fouls. His mix of speed and strength is a handful for even the New York Knicks’ stingiest defenders.
Mitch Johnson is now trusting Harper in crunch time, and his Game 3 projections hover around 14 points, given a similar workload.
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COVERS INTEL:
Harper’s usage climbed from 17.9 in Game 1 of the NBA Finals to 20.8 in Game 2. He was second on the team behind only Victor Wembanyama when it came to usage and points percentage in graded clutch time (final five minutes).
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Spurs vs Knicks Game 3 same-game parlay
The Knicks just won’t die. Or better yet, the Spurs don’t have the killer instinct to put them away. New York is locked in from the starters to the bench, fighting for every 50/50 ball and thriving under pressure.
San Antonio, on the other hand, sees its wheels wobble in the clutch, as evidenced by careless turnovers and poor offensive rebounding.
New York is not dependent on Jalen Brunson to carry the team, as long as he’s there to hit those backbreakers. Madison Square Garden gives the Knicks a hefty home-court edge, and the bright lights of Broadway blind San Antonio’s youngsters.
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Mikal Bridges was huge in the second half of Game 2. With the Spurs blitzing Brunson, Bridges’ mid-range stroke was the Spurs’ kryptonite. He was steady on 8-for-13 shooting and anchored a third-quarter surge with Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns on the bench.
His Game 3 models flirt with 15 points.
Spurs vs Knicks SGP
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Dylan Harper Over 12.5 points
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Mikal Bridges Over 13.5 points
Spurs vs Knicks betting trend to know
New York is 28-15 ATS as a home favorite on the year, including 5-2 ATS in the playoffs. The Knicks are 11-2 SU and 8-5 ATS as home chalk hosting Western Conference foes. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Knicks.
Spurs vs Knicks odds for Game 3
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Spread: Spurs +2 | Knicks -2
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Moneyline: Spurs +110 | Knicks -130
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Over/Under: Over 215.5 | Under 215.5
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How to watch Spurs vs Knicks Game 3
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Location |
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
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Date |
Monday, June 8, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
8:30 p.m. ET |
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TV |
ABC |
Spurs vs Knicks latest injuries
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