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Two of the top teams in the WNBA collide this afternoon when the Indiana Fever visit the Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.
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The Lynx are 5.5-point favorites in the WNBA odds.
Napheesa Collier is beginning to return to form, and my Fever vs. Lynx predictions and WNBA picks expect the Lynx star to have a strong scoring and rebounding effort for the first-place Lynx today.
Fever vs Lynx prediction
Fever vs Lynx best bet: Napheesa Collier Over 26.5 points + rebounds (-110)
I’m backing Minnesota Lynx forward Napheesa Collier to go Over 28.5 points + rebounds against a lousy Indiana Fever defense.
Versatile forwards like Collier average 12.2 rebounds and 38.1 points per game because the Fever’s defensively challenged backcourt forces Aliyah Boston and Monique Billings into late close-outs and off the defensive glass.
Collier excels everywhere and has been involved in a couple of blowouts, but in the lone competitive game she played, she hung 24/10 on Seattle. This game will be close, and I expect a big day from Collier.
Play this to 27.5, or 26.5 to -125.
Covers
COVERS INTEL: Napheesa Collier may be on a 25-minute cap, but the Lynx are getting her the ball as Collier is enjoying the highest Usage Rate of her seven-year career.
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Fever vs Lynx same-game parlay
I’m pairing Collier’s combo prop with Kayla McBride Over 16.5 Points and Kelsey Mitchell Under 22.5 Points.
When Indiana over-collapses inside, McBride will feast against a perimeter defense surrendering 68.7% True Shooting to guards. She’s cleared this total in nine of her last 10 games and should be good to go.
Fading Mitchell is a tough thing to do these days, but Minnesota’s top-ranked backcourt defense (63.3 DefRtg) is too physical for Mitchell, and I don’t expect 23 or more points from her today.
Fever vs Lynx SGP
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Napheesa Collier Over 26.5 points + rebounds
Phil Naessens’ 2026 Transparency Record
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Best bet: 13-10, +1.28 units
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Player prop: 2-8, -6.45 units
Fever vs Lynx odds
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Spread: Fever +5.5 | Lynx -5.5
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Moneyline: Fever +195 | Lynx -240
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Over/Under: Over 193.5 | Under 193.5
Fever vs Lynx trend
Over is 6-0 in the Lynx’s last six home games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Fever vs Lynx
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Location |
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
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Date |
Sunday, August 2, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
1:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
ABC |
Fever vs Lynx latest injuries
Fever: None.
Lynx: None.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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