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Olivia Miles’s ugly Friday night may have been the exception that proved the rule she is becoming. That rule is simple: Trust the Minnesota Lynx rookie, no matter the opponent, but especially against middling defenses like the Washington Mystics.
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My Mystics vs. Lynx predictions and these WNBA picks trust Miles to quickly erase Friday’s bad memories on June 21.
Mystics vs Lynx prediction
Mystics vs Lynx best bet: Olivia Miles Over 17.5 points (-115)
Olivia Miles may be human. The Minnesota Lynx rookie went 1-for-10 from the field Friday, arguably her first bad professional game.
Fatigue did not cost Miles; she still made the game-sealing block in the final minute. She simply had a bad shooting night, one that she shouldn’t let linger. Before that struggle, Miles had cleared this modest prop in six of seven games, the exception coming in a 33-point rout, playing only 23 minutes.
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The Washington Mystics should keep tonight close enough for Miles to quickly exorcise those demons, though an eventual blowout may keep her from more than 20.
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COVERS INTEL:
Washington ranks second-to-last in the WNBA in turnover percentage, coughing up the ball on 19.9% of possessions, the type of weakness that should create easy transition buckets for Minnesota’s guards.
Mystics vs Lynx same-game parlay
The Lynx sitting atop the offensive ratings gets noticed. As does Minnesota sitting atop the defensive ratings. Unsurprisingly, the Lynx are atop the WNBA standings.
But also realize, none of this was expected. This was so unexpected that oddsmakers have not yet caught up. Minnesota is 14-2 against the spread this season, including winning six straight against the spread.
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Mystics vs Lynx SGP
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Olivia Miles Over 17.5 points
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Olivia Miles Over 1.5 3-pointers
Mystics vs Lynx player prop pick
Olivia Miles Over 1.5 3-pointers (+125)
Miles’s 1-for-10 shooting on Friday included 0-for-4 from deep. In her previous six games, Miles had turned a corner from beyond the arc, hitting 16 of 28 treys.
That rate was not sustainable, but even the 8-for-17 in the previous five games stands out as something that should worry the whole WNBA.
Miles has shot 46.4% from from deep at home this season, compared to just 22.7% on the road. Expect that former rate to buoy her confidence this evening.
Douglas Farmer’s 2026 Transparency Record
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Best bet: 5-5, -0.9 units
Mystics vs Lynx odds
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Spread: Mystics +13.5 | Lynx -13.5
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Moneyline: Mystics +625 | Lynx -950
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Over/Under: Over 170.5 | Under 170.5
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Mystics vs Lynx trend
Minnesota is not only on a six-game ATS winning streak. It has exceeded bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 9.9 points in those six games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Mystics vs Lynx
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Location |
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
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Date |
Sunday, June 21, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
6:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
MNMT, Victory+ |
Mystics vs Lynx latest injuries
Mystics: No injuries to report.
Lynx: Napheesa Collier (Out), Dorka Juhasz (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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