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Coming off a tough 14-point loss in Indiana, the New York Liberty host the Los Angeles Sparks at Barclays Center in a prime bounce-back spot.
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However, Nneka Ogwumike presents a massive matchup nightmare for New York’s defense once again.
Dive into our free Sparks vs. Liberty predictions and WNBA picks for Thursday, Aug. 13, to see why we’re backing Ogwumike & Co. to put up major numbers.
Sparks vs Liberty prediction
Sparks vs Liberty best bet: Nneka Ogwumike Over 16.5 points (-110)
Los Angeles Sparks forward Nneka Ogwumike has hit her scoring Over in nine of 15 road games and 18 of 31 overall, including six of her last 10.
She finished with 21 and 24, respectively, in two matchups with the New York Liberty, and she’s scored 17+ in four of her last five in this matchup, dating back to last season.
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Ogwumike is shooting 40% from beyond the arc, and N.Y. has allowed the highest 3-point percentage and second-most triples.
In a high-scoring and favorable matchup with a familiar opponent, I’ll bet on another strong scoring night, playable to 19.5.
Covers
COVERS INTEL: Over the last 10, New York has surrendered 22.6 points and 2.5 triples on 49% shooting from the field and 41.6% from downtown to opposing centers — all Bottom-5 marks.
Sparks vs Liberty same-game parlay
Over the last 10 games, the Liberty and Sparks rank in the Bottom 4 in points, FG% surrendered, and defensive rating, and Top 5 in pace. The Over has hit in four straight and nine of the last 10 H2H matchups, and I’ll bet this one up to 189.5.
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The Liberty own a pitiful 13-19 against-the-spread record, including going 2-8 ATS across their last 10, while Los Angeles has covered in four of its last six. The Sparks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 matchups with the Liberty. Play down to 5.5.
Sparks vs Liberty SGP
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Nneka Ogwumike Over 16.5 points
Sparks vs Liberty player prop pick
Breanna Stewart Over 34.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105)
The Sparks have been cooked by opposing forwards, giving up the second-most points, third-most rebounds, and second-most assists.
Over her last six healthy matchups with the Sparks, Breanna Stewart has averaged 37 PRA and hit the Over on this combo line four times.
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Stewie’s reached 35+ PRA in four of her last six at Barclays Center, and she’ll have plenty of opportunities to stuff the stat sheet in a matchup of Top-5 paces.
Zak Hanshew’s 2026 Transparency Record
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Best bet: 27-27, -2.29 units
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Player prop: 13-15, -3.97 units
Sparks vs Liberty odds
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Spread: Sparks +8.5 (-108) | Liberty -8.5 (-112)
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Moneyline: Sparks +285 | Liberty -360
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Over/Under: Over 186.5 (-115) | Under 186.5 (-105)
Sparks vs Liberty trend
The Sparks and Liberty are 9-1 to the Over across their last 10 head-to-head meetings. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Sparks vs Liberty
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Location |
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
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Date |
Thursday, Aug. 13, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
8 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Prime Video |
Sparks vs Liberty latest injuries
Sparks: Monique Akoa Makani G (Out).
Liberty: Satou Sabally F (Out), Leoni Fiebich F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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