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With a win in Game 3, the New York Knicks take a 3-0 series lead back to Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday as they look to complete the sweep of the Philadelphia 76ers and advance to the Eastern Conference Finals for a third straight season.
Jalen Brunson has set the tone for New York throughout the series, and my Knicks vs. 76ers predictions call for him to stay hot in a closeout contest.
Here are my best free NBA picks for Monday’s Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals at Madison Square Garden.
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Knicks vs 76ers Game 4 prediction
Knicks vs 76ers best bet: Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 points (-115)
Through three games in the Eastern Conference semifinals, it’s clear that the Philadelphia 76ers have no answer for Jalen Brunson. The New York Knicks superstar guard has scored 35, 26, and 33 points to lead his team to a commanding 3-0 series lead.
Brunson is no stranger to big moments, and he’s averaged 29 points across six road closeout games since joining the Knicks. He’s recorded 30+ in three of them, including a 41-point eruption in the 2024 postseason against the Sixers.
Brunson owns the third-highest playoff scoring average since 2022-23 at a robust 29.6, and I expect him to hit the Over on this scoring line as he’s done in four of seven matchups with Philadelphia this season.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Jalen Brunson has scored 27+ points in 31 of 51 playoff games with the New York Knicks, good for 60.7%.
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Knicks vs 76ers Game 4 same-game parlay
The Knicks have won six in a row and covered the spread five times in that span. With Joel Embiid obviously banged up and Brunson putting up strong numbers, New York should be able to close this series out on the road and cover the one-point spread.
The Game Total Under has hit in two straight games and in four of seven head-to-head matchups this season. The Knicks and 76ers have hit the Under in two of three season matchups in Philadelphia.
Knicks vs 76ers SGP
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Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 points
Knicks vs 76ers odds for Game 4
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Spread: Knicks -1 | 76ers +1
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Moneyline: Knicks -105 | 76ers -115
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Over/Under: Over 212.5 | Under 212.5
Knicks vs 76ers betting trend to know
The Knicks have won six straight games and covered the spread in five of their last six. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. 76ers.
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How to watch Knicks vs 76ers Game 4
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Location |
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA |
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Date |
Sunday, May 10, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
3:30 p.m. ET |
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TV |
ABC |
Knicks vs 76ers latest injuries
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