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Back from a grueling road trip, it doesn’t get any easier for the Las Vegas Aces, who open a two-game set at home with the surging Washington Mystics tonight.
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Washington is the hottest thing going in the WNBA, reeling off seven straight wins and quickly asserting themselves as a contender for the WNBA title.
The books still have the Mystics in prove-it mode, setting them as 7.5-point road underdogs. However, my Mystics vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks for Tuesday, Aug. 11 will happily back the road team.
Mystics vs Aces prediction
Mystics vs Aces best bet: Mystics +7.5 (-110)
The Washington Mystics have gone 11-3 across their last 14, fueled by an elite defense allowing 80.9 points per game while ranking first in field-goal defense and second against the three.
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Six wins came against playoff teams, including the Las Vegas Aces.
The Aces went 2-3 on their recent road trip and now face their fourth game in six days after resting their top scorers in a blowout loss to New York.
Washington has also covered in eight straight, six times as an underdog.
The Mystics may not win, but their defense combined with Vegas’ fatigue should keep this close. I’d back Washington to +5.5.
Covers
COVERS INTEL: Shakira Austin is the driving force behind the Mystics’ fun run. She’s led the team in scoring and rebounding in each of the last four games.
Mystics vs Aces same-game parlay
Shakira Austin has been consistently good at scoring the ball since the start of July. She’s topped her 17.5-point scoring line in each of the last four games, and hit the Over nine times in the last 13, missing the Over two other times by a single point.
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A’ja Wilson has had plenty of time to stew after her 20+ point streak ended at 12 in a loss to the Lynx. With a full three days off, she should be back to her dominant self. Wilson has gone for 35+ in each of her last two starts against Washington.
Mystics vs Aces SGP
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Shakira Austin Over 17.5 points
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A’ja Wilson Over 24.5 points
Eric Rosales’ 2026 Transparency Record
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Best bet: 13-20, -7.28 units
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Player prop: 13-6, +5.65 units
Mystics vs Aces odds
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Spread: Mystics +7.5 | Aces -7.5
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Moneyline: Mystics +220 | Aces -280
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Over/Under: Over 169.5 | Under 169.5
Mystics vs Aces trend
Washington is 7-3-0 against the spread in the last 10 matchups with Vegas. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Mystics vs Aces
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Location |
Michelob Ultra Arena, Paradise, NV |
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Date |
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
10 p.m. ET |
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TV |
MNMT, KMCC |
Mystics vs Aces latest injuries
Mystics: Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (day-to-day).
Aces: Dana Evans (out), Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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